A quick update, taking all February polls so far into account. Word from Anthony Wells is that we’ll be hearing from ICM this evening. It will be interesting to see if they confirm their previous Lib Dem increase of six points, and how far ahead the Tories are. At the moment, there is a large margin of eight points between the best poll for the Tories (MORI) and this one. Will the Tory number increase?
What will this betting market look like next Friday morning?
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Whatever the result in Makerfield next Thursday I expect there will be a
major (over)reaction to the result. Interestingly a surprise result in
Scotland mi...
17 hours ago
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