ICM's figures for a general election are
Con 39
Lab 29
LD 20
I think the Lib Dems are overstated here but still, my 41/29/19.5 prediction was pretty accurate. But the extra half-point for the Lib Dems and 2% less for the Tories makes a big difference to the number of seats Labour loses. It just goes to show that we have to place nearly as much emphasis on defeating the Lib Dems as Labour.
Meanwhile in America
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Next year one of the major political betting markets will the be the
American midterms and last night’s results do indicate it will be a
humiliating night ...
3 hours ago
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