ICM's figures for a general election are
I think the Lib Dems are overstated here but still, my 41/29/19.5 prediction was pretty accurate. But the extra half-point for the Lib Dems and 2% less for the Tories makes a big difference to the number of seats Labour loses. It just goes to show that we have to place nearly as much emphasis on defeating the Lib Dems as Labour.
DUP lose 3 seats in new boundary proposals to put it behind SF - This isn’t going to be popular with TMay’s supply & confidence partners Well done to Martin Baxter for getting his boundaries projection out so fast. His f...
52 minutes ago