ICM's figures for a general election are
I think the Lib Dems are overstated here but still, my 41/29/19.5 prediction was pretty accurate. But the extra half-point for the Lib Dems and 2% less for the Tories makes a big difference to the number of seats Labour loses. It just goes to show that we have to place nearly as much emphasis on defeating the Lib Dems as Labour.
There’s greater than a 1.25% chance that Emily Thornberry will be next PM - My little punt this afternoon One of the things about running a site about political betting and being a punter myself is that I like to spend a few minute...
13 hours ago