ICM's figures for a general election are
Con 39
Lab 29
LD 20
I think the Lib Dems are overstated here but still, my 41/29/19.5 prediction was pretty accurate. But the extra half-point for the Lib Dems and 2% less for the Tories makes a big difference to the number of seats Labour loses. It just goes to show that we have to place nearly as much emphasis on defeating the Lib Dems as Labour.
PB Predictions Competition 2025 – The Entries
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For those curious about the PB Prediction Competition, the full list of
entries can be found in this spreadsheet. PB Prediction Competition 2025
– Entrie...
1 day ago
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